Community solar, C&I, DERs, and other smaller-scale projects offer investors an opportunity to deploy capital into assets with shorter development timelines, diversified portfolios, and attractive returns as utility-scale development faces longer interconnection and execution challenges. This market continues a fast upward trajectory, with capacity additions scaling aggressively to roughly 262 GW of new DER and demand flexibility capacity, and market valuations of $200+ billion in the next 5 years. Yet tax credit availability, federal funding changes, rising capital costs, fragmented offtake, siting and permitting challenges, inflationary pressures, wholesale market volatility, and project performance are reshaping how these assets are financed, aggregated, valued, and ultimately sold.
- Where are the opportunities for community solar, C&I, and other distributed assets today? Which markets, state programs, technologies, and business models offer the best risk-adjusted returns? What are lenders requiring on pricing, sizing, diligence, and structure?
- What does the capital stack look like as federal support and financing conditions change? How are construction and permanent debt, TE or credit transfers, preferred or mezzanine capital, green banks, state incentives, and other sources being used? Are inflation or interest rates an issue?
- Do shorter development timelines give smaller-scale projects an advantage in today's markets? How are FEOC, equipment procurement, domestic content, or other factors affecting financing? Is tax equity capacity a constraint? What about ‘synthetic’ community solar?
- How do financiers efficiently underwrite portfolios containing multiple individual assets? How can PPA terms, customer credit, geographic and offtaker diversification, cross-collateralization, revenue stack assumptions, and individual project performance affect portfolio risk and valuation?
- Operating histories: how are actual generation, revenues, demand response performance, asset management costs, and underperformance influencing refinancing, valuations, and returns?